Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.318109 4.907706 5.555874 6.322535 7.206177 8.194562 9.386466
2025-05-04 3.609730 4.399137 5.335170 6.531642 8.027148 9.843442 12.229722
2025-05-11 3.018850 3.868763 4.933324 6.373754 8.285772 10.755860 14.219648
2025-05-18 2.627387 3.506650 4.658054 6.290276 8.567193 11.664060 16.251841
2025-05-25 2.333150 3.223573 4.434780 6.222098 8.825206 12.528803 18.287858
2025-06-01 2.085954 2.970535 4.214596 6.116616 8.994954 13.258486 20.184451
2025-06-08 1.874863 2.742970 4.000849 5.986341 9.097054 13.877070 21.959913
2025-06-15 1.792457 2.693109 4.037214 6.227167 9.779252 15.442671 25.416316
2025-06-22 1.677534 2.581094 3.965666 6.286940 10.172127 16.578386 28.288380
2025-06-29 1.554978 2.444852 3.841730 6.245765 10.387509 17.432581 30.764844
2025-07-06 1.440489 2.310775 3.707890 6.171876 10.533659 18.173858 33.116003
2025-07-13 1.384925 2.267559 3.717320 6.339115 11.111790 19.729393 37.170358
2025-07-20 1.323876 2.211352 3.702118 6.465399 11.636405 21.258777 41.410647
2025-07-27 1.284448 2.188549 3.741556 6.692166 12.369066 23.259183 46.872349
2025-08-03 1.187740 2.057473 3.579507 6.531597 12.345205 23.787447 49.339648
2025-08-10 1.111513 1.956878 3.463580 6.446057 12.456533 24.591859 52.501365
2025-08-17 1.044443 1.867696 3.361093 6.376058 12.589596 25.450755 55.895025
2025-08-24 0.978205 1.775071 3.244801 6.267729 12.631314 26.118384 58.936825
2025-08-31 0.914444 1.682490 3.121488 6.133939 12.604899 26.633070 61.683705
2025-09-07 0.901239 1.685405 3.182045 6.381268 13.420145 29.095864 69.523752
2025-09-14 0.867354 1.645513 3.155198 6.442658 13.831752 30.688378 75.417631
2025-09-21 0.824684 1.585225 3.082978 6.400369 14.004686 31.742374 80.069976
2025-09-28 0.781663 1.521313 2.998752 6.324482 14.092159 32.600731 84.326532